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Buy? Hold? Sell?

Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Currie Cup, Original Content, Sharks on 16 Oct 2015 at 13:13
Tagged with : ,

Those of you at all acquainted with the stock market will be familiar with the sort of short hand speak that analysts use when rating various commodities. In this global and professional game, rugby players also have value that can increase or decrease in line with their performances on the field, so I thought I’d do a bit of a Friday mash-up and see what my limited knowledge of financial analysis could mean for the Sharks’ Currie Cup squad.

Before we start, let’s set the scene a little. The Currie Cup, I’m afraid, ain’t what it used to be and while South Africa’s premier domestic competition once showcased the vary best talent available on the scene, it’s now been degraded to the sort of competition where only those who can’t get a gig with the Boks or a Japanese team are likely to be playing. In other words, it’s kind of a mix of up-and-coming youth with a smattering of seasoned journeymen and generally a pretty good place to go “shopping” if you’re trying to find some talent to round out your Super Rugby squad. Players, thus, would go into the Currie Cup aiming to impress and to increase their market value. At this level of the game, it’s perhaps not too hard to stand out if you’re a really top talent. The flip side is that if you fail to impress in even a weakened Currie Cup competition, well, your chances of Super Rugby stardom aren’t looking too good.

For my analysis, I’m only going to look at the players who actually got onto the field in the Currie Cup and will look at them from the perspective of an outsider, trying to make up his mind about what the player can add to his setup. “Buy”, is for a player that showed he is worth investing in; if he were not in my squad, I would definitely want to get him in. “Hold” means that he didn’t do enough to convince me either way, but assuming he was already around, I would not (yet) be actively looking to get rid of him. “Sell” is kind of self-explanatory. We gave it a bash, it didn’t work out, sorry. See you later. I’m trying to be as fair as I can in these ratings, while still being tough on players who have not performed this Currie Cup season. Some of my “hold” ratings will be influenced by what we’ve seen of the player before and also his perceived value to the squad going forward, even if, in pure Currie Cup terms, a “sell” would be more appropriate.

Thomas du Toit Buy Struggled at 3, but showed his class back at 1. Young and strong and full of potential
Gerhard Engelbrecht Hold Improved as he went, but clearly not the finished article. Keep for depth
Juan Schoeman Hold We didn’t see enough, but we need prop depth
Dale Chadwick Sell As the most experienced prop in the group, was disappointing
Lourens Adriaanse Hold Out injured for most of the campaign, but has to stay as the most senior tighthead
Monde Hadebe Sell Lacks physical presence, a must for a modern tight forward
Franco Marais Hold Didn’t kick on as expected, but has the best basics of the current group
Kyle Cooper Hold A rating based on past performance, since Currie Cup was disappointing
Dave McDuling Hold Wins a reprieve based on a shortage at lock and utility value
Etienne Oosthuizen Hold An up-and-down campaign, but a shortage of a genuine 4 means he must stay
Marco Wentzel Hold Over played in 2015, but his value in a young squad cannot be overstated
JC Astle Sell Battles with injury every campaign
Christiaan De Bruin Sell Tough to write off a youngster, but there was just nothing here to recommend further investment
Francois Kleinhans Buy Enhanced his reputation with every performance
Khaya Majola Hold Injury was cruel, but he has clear potential
Jean-Luc du Preez Buy Impressive debut season. This kid has the goods
Dan du Preez Buy Would love to see Dan play 80 minutes of every match
Philip van der Walt Buy The most consistent performer over 10 weeks. Defence a key factor
Jean Deysel Sell It’s been a great ride, but Jean appears to have passed his sell-by date
Cobus Reinach Hold Moments of magic, but needs consitency in applying the basics
Michael Claassens Buy Class is permanent and he has it
Stefan Ungerer Hold Based on prior perforamnce. He cannot be as bad as looked this campaign
Joe Pietersen Buy Calm and experience, a rare commodity in 2015
Lionel Cronje Sell Current valuation agrees with prior performance
Heimar Williams Hold Running out of time to deliver a return, but shows some touches
Andre Esterhuizen Buy Has something special, now to unlock it
Paul Jordaan Hold Maddeningly inconsistent, but bring X factor on occasion
Waylon Murray Sell Just nothing going on there, any more
S’bura Sithole Hold A lucky hold, based on what he’s done in the past
Wandi Mjekevu Sell This isn’t going to work out, I’m afraid
Odwa Ndungane Sell Some amazing years, but 2015 was not one of them and 2016 won’t be any better
Garth April Hold Another player with a bit of spark that should be nurtured
SP Marais Sell Never kicked on after a good debut season. Time to invest elsewhere 

A few others named in the Currie Cup squad, but not actually seen on the field, are harder to call:

Wiehan Hay Sell Ongoing injury problems
Hanco Venter Hold Ungerer’s woes mean he may have a future
Charlie Mayeza Hold We need better wingers, so keen to see what he can do
Alcino Izaacs Hold Surely must get an opportunity to play at some point
Tonderai Chavhanga Sell Has now retired


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